Methods for comprehensive assessment of options for the strategic development of the tourism industry (стр. 3 )

Limit the boundaries separating the bad state of strategic development of задовіль, satisfactory good good from non-you can also define differently. Above this, these boundaries can and should change over time. So, the status of the strategic development with the rating of "bad" corresponds to the present day and on the economic efficiency of the activity of the tourist Galu, and the level of life of its employees, or even clients, and at the level of ecological security of envi-ronment. The status of "satisfactory" may correspond to the average values of the respective indicators in the tourism sector and some other sectors of the economy. Status of "good" corresponds to the best value performance in many sectors of the economy, and "excellent" - the mean value of the state both within the country and in other countries and in their respective industries. With the growth of efficiency of the economy and the living standards of the population and the priorities may change. So, the status of "excellent" can match the best values of the corresponding parameters in the world.

Both matrixes, United in graphical scheme of integrated assessment of socio-economic level of strategic development of the tourism industry, are shown in Fig. 5. Having a tree convolution of criteria, you can evaluate any possible strategic option, and then choose the best option from the set of feasible. To do this, each version of the strategic development will describe a number of different criteria , values which determine the level of assessment.

Consider the problem of choosing optimal variants of strategic development, which will ensure the transition from the status of the tourism industry with the rating of "bad" to a state with a rating of "satisfactory". To do this, we give the definition of the notion of intense variants of strategic development of [2, 6]. We assume that the version of the x1 is called stressful if there is no other option x2, which has a similar meaning aggregate, or the comprehensive evaluation, in which the value of each of the criteria is not higher than option х1. For example, the option = {2, 2, 4}, that has a comprehensive assessment of K = 3, is not a tense, because the option is there = {2, 2, 3}, which has a similar indicator value of integrated assessment, at the same time, the value of each criterion does not exceed the values similar criteria options . As for option such options are none, so he is busy. The purpose of intense options is that current versions of strategic development, which provide for the acquisition of the necessary value of the metric of integrated assessment, must be strained. Actually tense options is Pareto-optimal variants in the space of criteria are considered. So, when solving the problem of choosing optimal variants of strategic development of the tourism industry, which will provide for the transition from the status of "bad" to a condition satisfactory, we can confine the analysis of only a major options.

Fig. 5. The scheme of complex assessment of the socio-economic level of strategic development of the tourism industry

We describe the algorithm of searching all the tense variants of strategic development.

Let task of transition from state = {2, 2, 2} the value of integrated assessment of "bad" in the state of = {3, 3, 3} with a value of "satisfactory". First, consider matrix convolution of criteria for assessment of the social level of (C) and the level of economic efficiency (E). Celebrate all of the elements of the matrix C/E, which have the value of the indicator 3 (satisfactory, Fig. 5) and which are tense, i. e. only those that are left and below them. with a value of "satisfactory". First, consider matrix convolution of criteria for assessment of the social level of (C) and the level of economic efficiency (E). Celebrate all of the elements of the matrix C/E, which have the value of the indicator 3 (satisfactory, Fig. 5) and which are tense, i. e. only those that are left and below them. Only 8 such options, among which there are four tense, namely: , , і . On Fig. 5 in the matrix C/o noted circle the value of integrated indicators to be achieved for each of the four above States strategic development.

Economic efficiency (e) is the original criterion of assessment of the state of strategic development, while the social level of (C) - aggregate assessment. Therefore we consider matrix convolution of criteria (Б) and (Ж), on the basis of which you want to specify all tense options that the aggregate indicator for the assessment of (C) give the following values: {1; 2; 4; 5}. For example, a value of 1 ("critical") in terms of "With" may be obtained in four ways: , , і , a value of 2 six ways: , ..., , value 4 - in five ways:, ..., , and the value 5, we get only two ways: і .

Among all 17 analyzed variants of strategic development of only 7 of them-пруженими, namely: option corresponds to the conservation of the existing situation in the field of ecological safety (Б) and the standard of living (Ж); option corresponds to some improvement in the standard of living; option indicates the absence of the priorities of any criterion; option responsible improve the level of environmental safety; option indicates an excellent standard of living, while the average level of ecological safety options and meet practically excellent level of environmental safety and slightly above average level of life.

The result of the obtained graph (Fig. 6), which is called many intense options to transition of a system from one state to another. As can be seen from the algorithm of its construction, it contains all tense options for strategic development of the tourism industry, the importance of a comprehensive evaluation index of "satisfactory".

To obtain any busy option, you must perform the following steps. Consider the starting point (entrance) the set of solutions. From it are the four arcs. Take any of them, for example, arc, which leads to the top , going out of the two arcs. Note both of these arcs. Arc, which leads to the top 3 for the criterion of "E"indicates that it must achieve the state of "satisfactory". Arc, which leads into the top 2 in terms of "C", indicates that for him to reach the state of "bad". Of the three transition options to achieve a value of 2 for indicator "From the" select any (for example, option ,which corresponds to the assessment of "good" according to the criterion of "Б", and the assessment of critical - according to the criterion of "Ж". Received intense variant corresponds to the subgraph of many decisions, which is highlighted in Fig. 6 thick arcs. It defines such a stressful option of strategic development .

Having lots of intense variants of strategic development of the tourism industry, it is easy to determine the number of them, which provide the required value is a comprehensive evaluation index options. To do this, apply the indexing algorithm (label) vertices solutions [2]:

1-th step. Denote the finite vertex set of solutions in an index with a value of 1 (Fig. 6 indices of the vertices are listed in the top half of squares and circles);