1 Kuznets S. S. Secular Movements in Production and Prices. Their Nature and Their Bearing upon Cyclical Fluctuations. – Boston and New York, NBER, 1930, p. VII.

2 Мизес, Л. фон. Человеческая деятельность. Трактат по экономической теории. - М., Экономика, 2000. с. 623.

3 Milton Friedman. - Financial Times, London, 2006, November 16.

4 Maddison A. Phases of Capitalist Development. – Oxford, Oxford University Press, 1982, p. 160, 213.

5 Solow R. M. Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function. – Review of Economics and Statistics, 1957, N 3, p. 46.

6 Ibid., p. 42

7 Economic Report of the President. – Washington, United States Government Printing Office, 1997, p. 19.

8 Kydland F. E. and Prescott E. C. Business Cycles: Real Facts and a Monetary Myth. – Federal Reserve Bank of Minneanopolis Quarterly Review, 1990, spring, p.8.

9 Kydland F. E. and Prescott E. C. Hours and employment variation in business cycle theory. – Economic Theory, 1991, N 1, p.74.

10 Кондратьев циклы конъюнктуры и теория предвидения. – М., Экономика, 2002, .с. 322-400. Кондратьев экономической динамики. – М., Экономика, 1989, с. 170-356.

11 Кондратьев экономической динамики. – М., Экономика, 1989, с. 199-202.

12 Клинов циклы конъюнктуры мирового хозяйства. Проблемы анализа и прогнозирования. – М., ВНИИПИ, 1992, с. 65.

13 Mensch G. O. Stalemate in Technology. – Cambridge, Ballinger, 1979.

14 Clark J., Freeman C., Soete L. Long Waves, Inventions and Innovations. - In: Long Waves in the World Economy. L., Pinter, 1984.

НЕ нашли? Не то? Что вы ищете?

15 Duijn van J. J. Fluctuations in Innovations over Time. - In: Long Waves in the World Economy. L., Pinter, 1984.

16 Kleinknecht A. Innovation Patterns in Crises and Prosperity. – N. Y., St. Martin’s Press, 1987.

17 кономика научно-технического прогресса. – М., Прогресс, 1970, с. 125-141.

18 Kydland F E. and Prescott E. C. Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations. - Econometrica, N. Y., 1982, November, p. 1345.

19 Lucas R. E. Jr. Understanding Business Cycles. In: Business Cycle Theory. Kydland F. E.. (Editor), - Aldershot, Edward Elgar Publishing Limited, 1995, p.104.

20 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Unemployment Rates: total, Real GDP growth.

21 The Growth Report. Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. - Washington, The World Bank, On behalf of the Commission on Growth and Development, 2008, p. 92. - www. worldbank. org, www. growthcommission. org

22 Kendrick J. W. Productivity in the US. Trends and Cycles. – Baltimore, John Hopkins University Press, 1980, p. 54.

23 Международные экономические отношения. Ред. - М., Проспект, 2005, с. 110-112.

24 Lucas R. E. Jr. Lectures on Economic Growth. - Chicago, Harvard University Press, 2002.

25 фон. Человеческая деятельность. Трактат по экономической теории. – М., Экономика, 2000, с. 630.

26 Maddison A. The World Economy Historical Statistics. – Paris, OECD, 2003, p. 256.

27Мальтус закона о народонаселении. Пер.: – М., , 1895, 321 c.

28 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Population growth rates. www. oecd. org/factbook.

29 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Evolution of the population. www. oecd. org/factbook

30Willott E. Human Population Trends. 2006 update. http://research. biology. arizona. edu/mosquito/Willott/Pubs/WillottPop2006.ppt

31 World Population Prospects. – N. Y., U. N., 2006. http://esa. un. org/unpp/

32 Мировая экономика: прогноз до 2020. Ред. – М., Магистр, 2007, с. 351.

33 World Population Prospects. – N. Y., U. N., 2006. http://esa. un. org/unpp/

34 Международная общественная организация, основанная в 1968г. с целью привлечения внимания мирового сообщества к глобальным проблемам человечества.

35 How to deal with a falling population. – The Economist, L., 2007, July 28, p. 13.

36 National Accounts of OECD countries. – Paris, OECD, 1970- 2005. Statistical Yearbook. – N. Y., UN, 2007.


38 Wolf staining growth is the century’s big challenge. – Financial Times. L., 2008, June

39 United Nations Human Development Report. Fighting Climate Change: Human solidarity in a divided world. – Wash., UN, 2007/2008

40 The Growth Report. Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. - Washington, The World Bank, 2008, р. 86.

41 Ibid., p. 87.

42 International Energy Outlook 2008. – Washington, EIA U. S Government, 2008, June

43 The Growth Report. Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. - Washington, The World Bank, 2008, р. 88.

44 Ibid.

45 Sachs J. ments to Wolf staining growth in the century’s big challenge. – Financial Times, L., 2008, June 11th.

46 The Growth Report. Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. - Washington, The World Bank, 2008, p. 87.

47 Wolf staining growth is the century’s big challenge. – Financial Times. L., 2008, June 10

48  How to deal with a falling population. – The Economist, L., 2007, July 28, p. 13.

49 WHO. The World Health Report. 50 Facts: Global Health Situation and Trends: 1955-2025. – Geneva, 1998.

www. who. int/whr/1998/media_centre/50facts/en

50 CIA. World Factbook. Rank Order – Life expectancy at birth. – Wash., 2007, November 15. https://www. cia. gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/rankorder/2102rank. html

51. Demko D. Life-Expectancy in the Western World. – Age Venture News Service, Boca Raton (Florida), 2003, June 17. www.

52 World Population Prospects. – N. Y., U. N., 2006. http://esa. un. org/unpp/

53 World Population Prospects. – N. Y., U. N., 2006. http://esa. un. org/unpp/

54 World Population Prospects. – N. Y., U. N., 2006. http://esa. un. org/unpp/

55 The Growth Report. Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. - Washington, The World Bank, 2008, р. 99.

56 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Public and private education expenditure.

57 Barro R. J., Lee J. W. International Data on Educational Attainment: Updates and Implications. – Cambridge (Mass.), CID, 2000, Working Paper N 42.

58 Surprise, the world is winning its fight against poverty. – The Economist print edition, L., 2007, July 6th

59 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Expenditure on R&D.

60 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Social expenditure.

61 Mitchell W. C. Business Cycles. The Problem and Its Setting. – N. Y., NBER, 1930, p. 416.

62 фон Человеческая деятельность. Трактат по экономической теории. – М., Экономика, 2000, с. 817.

63 World Data. Long-term Forecasts on EIU Country Data and Market Indicators & Forecasts.

www. /wdata/help/ltgintro. htm

64 Фактами в экономической науке называют результаты статистических наблюдений, а стилизованными фактами – основанные на систематических наблюдениях эмпирические обобщения, касающиеся свойств и динамики экономических переменных, которые еще предстоит объяснить теоретически.

65 Schumpeter J. Business Cycles. A Theoretical, Historical and Statistical Analysis of the Capitalist Process. – N. Y., McGraw-Hill, 1939, p. 169-174.

66 Economic Report of the President. – Washington, United States Government Printing Office, 2007, p. 288.

67 The Wall Street Journal Europe, Brussels, 2003, November 7-9, p. A1.

68 Technical Change and the World Economy. Convergence and Divergence in Technology Strategies. Hagedoorn J. – Aldershot, Edward Elgar, 1996, p. 43.

69 Survey of Current Business. – Washington, 2005, N 9, p. 51, 57.

70 Surprise, the world is winning its fight against poverty. – The Economist print edition, L., 2007, July 6th.

71 Wilson D., Parashothaman R. Dreaming with BRICs: The Path to 2050. – N. Y., Goldman Sachs, 2003, Global Economics Paper N 99, p. 19-20. http:///insight/research/reports/report6.html


72 OECD Factbook 2007. – Paris, OECD, 2007, Real GDP Growth.

73 Рассчитано на базе: Kristensen T. Development in Rich and Poor Countries. – N. Y., Praeger, 1974, p. 27.

74 Рассчитано на базе Мировая экономика: прогноз до 2020. Ред. – М., Магистр, 2007, с. 399.

75 Poncet S. The Long Term Growth Prospects of the World Economy: Horizon 2050. – Paris, CEPII, 2006, Working Paper N 16, p. 64-65. http://www. cepii. fr/anglaisgraph/workpap/summaries/2006/wp06-16.htm

76 Wilson D., Parashothaman R. Dreaming with BRICs: The Path to 2050. – N. Y., Goldman Sachs, 2003, Global Economics Paper N 99, p. 5-6.

77 Poddar T., Yi E. India’s Rising Potential. – N. Y., Goldman Sachs, 2007, Global Economics Paper N 152, p. 5.

78 Wilson D., Parashothaman R. Dreaming with BRICs: The Path to 2050. – N. Y., Goldman Sachs, 2003, Global Economics Paper N 99, p. 5-6.

79 Мировая экономика: прогноз до 2020. Ред. – М., Магистр, 2007, с. 356-357, 403-404.

80 Клинов конъюнктура. Факторы и механизмы формирования. – М, Экономика, 2005, с. 87.

81 Surprise, the world is winning its fight against poverty. – The Economist print edition, L., 2007, July 6th

82 Ibid.

83 World Agriculture: Towards 2030/2050. Global Perspective Studies Unit. -. Rome, FAO, 2006. P. 8. http//www. fao. org 

84 Международные экономические отношения. Ред. - М., Проспект, 2005, с. 81.

85 Blas J. Long period of rising food prices forecast. – Financial Times, L., 2008, January 21st.

86 The Growth Report. Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development. - Washington, The World Bank, 2008, p. 19.

87 Wolf M. Food crisis is a chance to reform global agriculture. – Financial Times, L., 2008, April 29th.

88 Международные экономические отношения. Ред. - М., Проспект, 2005, с. 86.

89 www. usinfo. state. gov, 2008, June 3rd.

90The next green revolution. – The Economist print edition, L., February 21st

91Wolf M. Food crisis is a chance reform global agriculture. – Financial Times, L., 2008, April 29th.

92Ibid.

93 Bounds A. EU scientists query bloc’s biofuel strategy. –Financial Times,  L., 2008, January 17.

94 Международные экономические отношения. Ред. - М., Проспект, 2005, с. 85.

95 Wolf M. The market sets high oil prices to tell us what to do. – Financial Times, L., 2008, May 13th.

96 Ibid.

97 Ibid.

98 Ibid.

99 Ibid

100 International Financial Statictics Yearbook. – Wash., 2000-2007; Financial Times, L., 2008, May 13th.

101 График из доклада М. Хубберта «Ядерная энергия и ископаемое топливо» (Nuclear Energy and the Fossil Fuels), 1956г.

102 Mahtani D. Oil watching reworks reserves forecasts. – Financial Times, L., 2007, December 27th.

103World Economic Outlook. - Washington., International Monetary Fund, 2007, April. www. imf. org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2007/01

104 More heat than light. – The Economist print edition, 2007, May 24th.

105 International Energy Outlook 2008. – Washington, EIA U. S Government, 2008, June.

106 Клинов конъюнктура. Факторы и механизмы формирования. – М, Экономика, 2005, с. 82-95. Международные экономические отношения. Ред. - М., Проспект, 2005, с. 105-120.

107 Hawkswarth J. The World in 2050: How big the major emerging market economies get and how can the OECD compete? – PricewaterhouseCoopers, 2006. www. rhsmith. umd. edu/ciber/pdfs_docs/size_of_emerging_economics_march_2006.pdf

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